Koper 3-0 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +22%
1.72/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.25
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Domzale
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Domzale Domzale 2-3 HT 1-2 Koper Koper SLVN
09.11.2024 Koper Koper 4-0 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
24.08.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
18.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-0 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
11.11.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
3-0
AWAY Domzale
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Koper vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper swept aside Domzale 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Koper had 59% of the ball to Domzale's 41%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Koper and 0.83 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Koper vs Domzale?

Koper 3-0 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Koper 46%, draw 28%, Domzale 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
4 May 2025
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