Celje 4-1 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
68%
-0.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.21/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.44
+0% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
3W-1D-1L
AWAY ND Primorje
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
04.05.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-5 HT 0-4 Celje Celje SLVN
09.03.2025 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
10.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
25.08.2024 Celje Celje 0-3 HT 0-3 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
4-1
AWAY ND Primorje
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celje vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje ran out comfortable winners over ND Primorje 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Celje had 63% of the ball to ND Primorje's 37%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Celje and 1.60 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Celje vs ND Primorje?

Celje 4-1 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Celje 67%, draw 21%, ND Primorje 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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