ND Primorje 2-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.18
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
66%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.63
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
15%
5.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
29%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
11%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
66%
Away Win
72%
-6.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 77%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
0.66/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/0.76
-35% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +29%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Celje
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-5 HT 0-4 Celje Celje SLVN
09.03.2025 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
10.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
25.08.2024 Celje Celje 0-3 HT 0-3 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
2-3
AWAY Celje
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje edged past ND Primorje 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ND Primorje had 32% of the ball to Celje's 68%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ND Primorje and 2.50 for Celje.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Celje?

ND Primorje 2-3 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 13%, draw 21%, Celje 66%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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