Vestri 1-5 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 Jun 2024

Vestri
1-5 HT 1-1
Valur
📅22/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
48%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.4pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.2pp
48%
Away Win
67%
-18.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 71%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -20%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.95
+150% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +30%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
186 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.7
Crosses 27.8
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Valur
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2023 Valur Valur 3-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
15.09.2021 Vestri Vestri 2-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZK
16.02.2020 Valur Valur 5-0 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
1-5
AWAY Valur
0.67 xG 2.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 14
6 Corners 9
391 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 44
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur cruised past Vestri 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Vestri had 53% of the ball to Valur's 47%, shots finished 9-26, expected goals 0.67 to 2.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vestri and 3.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Valur?

Vestri 1-5 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vestri 25%, draw 27%, Valur 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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