HK Kopavogur 4-3 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 62%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -8%
0.82/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.72
-24% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -27%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
212 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
16.0 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stjarnan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.33 xG 2.32
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 364
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.02.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-3 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZLK
23.07.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
24.04.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-4 HT 2-3 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
20.09.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
20.06.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
27.09.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
4-3
AWAY Stjarnan
1.22 xG 3.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
211 Passes 463
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 45
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur nicked a narrow win over Stjarnan 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stjarnan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 36% of the ball to Stjarnan's 64%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.22 to 3.67 — on chances, Stjarnan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HK Kopavogur and 1.83 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs Stjarnan?

HK Kopavogur 4-3 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 23%, draw 24%, Stjarnan 52%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjarnan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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