Peninsula Power 2-1 Rochedale Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 19%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.86/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.79
-17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
444 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rochedale Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
21.07.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVSQ
22.04.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 2-3 HT 2-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Rochedale Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power squeezed past Rochedale Rovers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peninsula Power and 0.67 for Rochedale Rovers.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Rochedale Rovers?

Peninsula Power 2-1 Rochedale Rovers in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Rochedale Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 57%, draw 17%, Rochedale Rovers 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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