Belçika 2-0 Romanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 31% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.65
1/2
6%
86.0
1/X
6%
19.75
X/1
26%
3.47
X/2
9%
15.6
X/X
8%
6.52
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
9%
12.7
2/X
9%
20.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya EU Bookmakers 16%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.04/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.41
-98% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
458 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belçika
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Romanya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.11.2012 Romanya Romanya 2-1 HT 1-1 Belçika Belçika HAZ
11.11.2011 Belçika Belçika 2-1 HT 2-0 Romanya Romanya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika
2-0
AWAY Romanya
1.76 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
365 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belçika vs Romanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika got the better of Romanya 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Belçika as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Belçika had 55% of the ball to Romanya's 45%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.76 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Belçika and 1.50 for Romanya.

What was the final score of Belçika vs Romanya?

Belçika 2-0 Romanya in the Euro on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika vs Romanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Belçika 53%, draw 23%, Romanya 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Belçika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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