Türkiye 0-3 Portekiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 22 Jun 2024

Türkiye
0-3 HT 0-2
Portekiz
📅22/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Euro – 2024

Türkiye vs Portekiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.27
1/2
8%
21.45
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
8%
11.2
X/2
14%
3.94
X/X
14%
5.86
2/1
5%
52.0
2/2
28%
1.96
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Türkiye v Portekiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz EU Bookmakers 62%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.19/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/0.19
-100% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
8.0 Crosses 27.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Türkiye vs Portekiz Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Portekiz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.78 xG 3.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
256 Passes 448
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.03.2022 Portekiz Portekiz 3-1 HT 2-0 Türkiye Türkiye DKE
02.06.2012 Portekiz Portekiz 1-3 HT 0-1 Türkiye Türkiye HAZ
07.06.2008 Portekiz Portekiz 2-0 HT 0-0 Türkiye Türkiye AVR

Türkiye 0-3 Portekiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye
0-3
AWAY Portekiz
0.72 xG 1.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
373 Passes 505
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Türkiye vs Portekiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz ran out comfortable winners over Türkiye 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portekiz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Türkiye had 44% of the ball to Portekiz's 56%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Portekiz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Türkiye and 2.00 for Portekiz.

What was the final score of Türkiye vs Portekiz?

Türkiye 0-3 Portekiz in the Euro on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye vs Portekiz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Türkiye 22%, draw 28%, Portekiz 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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