Gremio 0-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.28
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
13%
5.81
X/2
13%
5.01
X/X
13%
3.56
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.7
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
0.81/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.09
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
15.1 Crosses 17.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Internacional
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 2.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 394
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 3-2 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
22.05.2023 Gremio Gremio 3-1 HT 2-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
06.03.2023 Gremio Gremio 2-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BRG1
24.03.2022 Gremio Gremio 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BRG1
19.03.2022 Internacional Internacional 0-3 HT 0-2 Gremio Gremio BRG1
10.03.2022 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
0-1
AWAY Internacional
0.51 xG 1.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional nicked a narrow win over Gremio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Internacional made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Gremio had 58% of the ball to Internacional's 42%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.51 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gremio and 1.17 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Internacional?

Gremio 0-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gremio 36%, draw 28%, Internacional 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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