CRB 1-0 Guarani FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.6
Over
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.56
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
16%
4.61
6+
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.35/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.14
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.9 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guarani FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
319 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
04.06.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BR2
12.10.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
03.07.2022 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
16.10.2021 CRB CRB 2-2 HT 0-1 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
14.07.2021 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
1-0
AWAY Guarani FC
1.48 xG 1.07
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 10
389 Passes 399
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CRB vs Guarani FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB edged past Guarani FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, CRB had 49% of the ball to Guarani FC's 51%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.48 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CRB and 0.83 for Guarani FC.

What was the final score of CRB vs Guarani FC?

CRB 1-0 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Guarani FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CRB 52%, draw 28%, Guarani FC 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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