Operario PR 0-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Jun 2024

Operario PR
0-1 HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
📅22/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Operario PR vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.45
Over
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2.08
2-3
38%
1.83
4-5
15%
6.23
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.4pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Operario PR v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.09/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.12
-19% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
21.4 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Operario PR vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.91 xG 1.27
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
387 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.01.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
01.11.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
25.09.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
26.05.2019 Operario PR Operario PR 0-2 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2

Operario PR 0-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
0-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.88 xG 0.37
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
458 Passes 187
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP squeezed past Operario PR 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Operario PR at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 67% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 33%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 0.88 to 0.37 — on chances, Operario PR could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Operario PR and 0.75 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Botafogo SP?

Operario PR 0-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 49%, draw 29%, Botafogo SP 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Operario PR) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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