Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.93
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 36% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.63
1/2
12%
26.0
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
16%
7.18
X/2
15%
4.24
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
2.72
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 51%
+20% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+30% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Gwangju
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
04.08.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 3-0 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
10.06.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
06.05.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
02.10.2022 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR2
30.07.2022 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2-1
AWAY Gwangju
43% Ball Possession 57%
1 Total Shots 3
0 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
434 Passes 488
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen squeezed past Gwangju 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Daejeon Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 43% of the ball to Gwangju's 57%, shots finished 1-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju?

Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 34%, draw 27%, Gwangju 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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