Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -20%
0.84/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.54
-25% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Astana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
20.05.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 3-2 HT 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
30.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
21.08.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 1-0 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
27.06.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
18.04.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 3-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana squeezed past Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day FC Astana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.83 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana?

Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 35%, draw 28%, FC Astana 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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