Zhetysu 1-2 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.09/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.00
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kaisar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3 Corners 3
26.08.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 1-1 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
15.04.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-2 HT 0-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
24.10.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 0-1 HT 0-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
23.05.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
26.10.2020 Zhetysu Zhetysu 3-1 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
22.08.2020 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaisar edged past Zhetysu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zhetysu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zhetysu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zhetysu and 0.83 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Kaisar?

Zhetysu 1-2 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhetysu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 43%, draw 28%, Kaisar 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zhetysu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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22 Jun 2024
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