IF Karlstad 1-2 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 15%
-22% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.05/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.40
-14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-2 HT 3-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
06.04.2024 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 0-0 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
1-2
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Eskilstuna squeezed past IF Karlstad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had IF Karlstad at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 66% of the ball to AFC Eskilstuna's 34%, shots finished 26-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IF Karlstad and 1.00 for AFC Eskilstuna.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?

IF Karlstad 1-2 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 58%, draw 21%, AFC Eskilstuna 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (IF Karlstad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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