IF Karlstad 4-2 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.7pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 30%
+16% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.02/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.24
+20% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
435 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 0-0 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad got the better of AFC Eskilstuna 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?

IF Karlstad 4-2 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 45%, draw 27%, AFC Eskilstuna 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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