Assyriska 2-3 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.41
No
47%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.6pp
47%
BTTS No
33%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.39/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
187 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FBK Karlstad
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2024 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 3-5 HT 2-4 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
2-3
AWAY FBK Karlstad
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad squeezed past Assyriska 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Assyriska at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Assyriska had 52% of the ball to FBK Karlstad's 48%, shots finished 21-15.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad?

Assyriska 2-3 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 42%, draw 24%, FBK Karlstad 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Assyriska) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Assyriska) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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