Stocksund 1-1 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.5pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stocksund EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 58%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.88/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.87
-29% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stocksund
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Umea FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2024 Umea FC Umea FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
10.09.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 3-5 HT 2-3 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
04.06.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 0-1 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
POST-MATCH Stocksund vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stocksund and Umea FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Umea FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Umea FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stocksund and 2.67 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of Stocksund vs Umea FC?

Stocksund 1-1 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stocksund vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stocksund 35%, draw 20%, Umea FC 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umea FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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