Thor Akureyri 2-0 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 22 Jun 2025

Thor Akureyri
2-0 HT 1-0
UMF Selfoss
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2025

Thor Akureyri vs UMF Selfoss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-8.9pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thor Akureyri v UMF Selfoss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.14/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/3.07
-18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
426 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Thor Akureyri vs UMF Selfoss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
2W-1D-3L
AWAY UMF Selfoss
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
13.05.2025 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-4 HT 1-3 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZK
20.08.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-2 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
16.06.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
10.08.2022 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-1 HT 1-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
03.06.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-2 HT 0-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
11.09.2021 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 1-2 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri beat UMF Selfoss 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UMF Selfoss led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.67 for UMF Selfoss.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs UMF Selfoss?

Thor Akureyri 2-0 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - 1st Division on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 61%, draw 17%, UMF Selfoss 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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