Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-1 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 59%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.90/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.79
-3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
210 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
01.06.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
14.08.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk edged past Dinamo Minsk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Minsk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 43% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk's 57%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 1.67 for Dinamo Minsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dinamo Minsk?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-1 Dinamo Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 27%, draw 26%, Dinamo Minsk 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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