Babrungas 4-2 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +9%
2.63/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.81
+18% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Panevezys II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-3 HT 0-3 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
08.03.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 0-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
04.08.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 5-2 HT 2-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
17.03.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-4 HT 2-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
28.08.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-2 HT 1-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
18.04.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babrungas
4-2
AWAY Panevezys II
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas saw off Panevezys II 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Babrungas had 48% of the ball to Panevezys II's 52%, shots finished 21-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Babrungas and 1.33 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Panevezys II?

Babrungas 4-2 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 65%, draw 20%, Panevezys II 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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