Simba 1-0 Kagera Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.11
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.5pp
33%
Draw
9%
+24.2pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.86/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.31
+10% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simba
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kagera Sugar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.12.2024 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 2-5 Simba Simba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
12.05.2024 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 1-1 Simba Simba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
26.01.2022 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 1-0 Simba Simba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
1-0
AWAY Kagera Sugar
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Simba vs Kagera Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba edged past Kagera Sugar 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Simba made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Simba had 69% of the ball to Kagera Sugar's 31%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Simba and 1.33 for Kagera Sugar.

What was the final score of Simba vs Kagera Sugar?

Simba 1-0 Kagera Sugar in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs Kagera Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Simba 33%, draw 33%, Kagera Sugar 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi More Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
22 Jun 2025
16:00 Black Stars vs Tanzania Prisons Analysis →
16:00 Pamba vs KMC Analysis →