FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.21/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.00
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
28.5 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.10.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
11.09.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 6-1 HT 3-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
21.06.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
11.08.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZK
25.07.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1-1
AWAY İA Akranes
3.13 xG 2.04
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
360 Passes 166
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
51 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur and İA Akranes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FH Hafnarfjordur at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 63% of the ball to İA Akranes's 37%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 3.13 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.00 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs İA Akranes?

FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 50%, draw 22%, İA Akranes 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →