Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensa y Justicia v Boca Juniors — Team-Based Signals
Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Boca Juniors
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-0
Boca Juniors
ARJ
2-0
HT 1-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
Defensa y Justicia 2-2 Boca Juniors — Actual Match Statistics
Defensa y Justicia and Boca Juniors shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 59% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 41%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.03 to 1.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.50 for Boca Juniors.
What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
Defensa y Justicia 2-2 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors?
Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 35%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.