Boca Juniors 0-0 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

Boca Juniors
0-0 HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 35% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
16%
3.74
X/2
10%
8.94
X/X
14%
4.33
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
7.66
2/X
7%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -12%
1.55/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.48
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.6 Crosses 15.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.27 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
07.03.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
22.08.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
11.05.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
15.09.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
04.04.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 1-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Boca Juniors 0-0 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
0-0
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
2.08 xG 0.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
326 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 6
36 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors and Defensa y Justicia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Boca Juniors at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 57% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 43%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.08 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.33 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Boca Juniors 0-0 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 47%, draw 29%, Defensa y Justicia 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boca Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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