Deportivo Riestra 0-3 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.01
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
11.1
1/2
9%
24.6
1/X
6%
19.8
X/1
10%
12.8
X/2
15%
3.38
X/X
15%
5.42
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.81
2/X
4%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
50%
Away Win
62%
-12.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
Crosses 18.4
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0-3
AWAY River Plate
0.68 xG 2.97
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
124 Passes 398
61% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Riestra 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 29% of the ball to River Plate's 71%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.68 to 2.97.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs River Plate?

Deportivo Riestra 0-3 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 25%, draw 26%, River Plate 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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