Central Cordoba Santiago 3-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

Central Cordoba Santiago
3-0 HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Central Cordoba Santiago vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.81
2-3 Goals
33%
1.88
4-5 Goals
18%
7.73
6+ Goals
5%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.94
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.76
X/2
12%
5.49
X/X
17%
3.01
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
12%
4.8
2/X
6%
15.65
Value flag · X/1 at 4.76 — our 24% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.9pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.1pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Cordoba Santiago v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.28
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +135%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.6 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Central Cordoba Santiago vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago
2W-1D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.90 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 Passes 264
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
09.05.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
01.10.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
07.11.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ

Central Cordoba Santiago 3-0 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago
3-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.53 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
247 Passes 345
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Cordoba Santiago vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Cordoba Santiago cruised past CA Sarmiento 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Central Cordoba Santiago as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Central Cordoba Santiago had 45% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 55%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.53 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central Cordoba Santiago had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Central Cordoba Santiago and 0.50 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Central Cordoba Santiago vs CA Sarmiento?

Central Cordoba Santiago 3-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Cordoba Santiago vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Cordoba Santiago win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Central Cordoba Santiago 43%, draw 29%, CA Sarmiento 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Cordoba Santiago), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Cordoba Santiago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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