Hebar 1918 0-2 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.3pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spartak Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 2-1 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-2
AWAY Spartak Varna
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna got the better of Hebar 1918 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Varna as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 42% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 58%, shots finished 5-13.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Spartak Varna?

Hebar 1918 0-2 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 24%, draw 28%, Spartak Varna 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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