Chelmsford City 1-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 57%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.38/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.33
+7% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Barnet
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet FAK
05.11.2022 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-1
AWAY Barnet
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City and Barnet couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barnet at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 40% of the ball to Barnet's 60%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Barnet?

Chelmsford City 1-1 Barnet in the Friendlies on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 29%, draw 21%, Barnet 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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