Inter 2-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-19.5pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.8pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
507 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 178 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-1
AWAY Pergolettese
2.27 xG 0.51
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
553 Passes 311
92% Pass Accuracy 82%
40 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Inter vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter nicked a narrow win over Pergolettese 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Inter had 62% of the ball to Pergolettese's 38%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 2.27 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter's control.

What was the final score of Inter vs Pergolettese?

Inter 2-1 Pergolettese in the Friendlies on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Inter 66%, draw 16%, Pergolettese 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5
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