Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v America de Cali — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
America de Cali
KOL
4-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-3
HT 1-2
Atletico Nacional
KOLK
2-1
HT 2-1
America de Cali
KOL
Atletico Nacional 2-1 America de Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional squeezed past America de Cali 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 56% of the ball to America de Cali's 44%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.51 to 1.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.67 for America de Cali.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali?
Atletico Nacional 2-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs America de Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 41%, draw 30%, America de Cali 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.