America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America de Cali v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
America de Cali
KOL
4-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-3
HT 1-2
Atletico Nacional
KOLK
2-1
HT 2-1
America de Cali
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
America de Cali 4-1 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
America de Cali swept aside Atletico Nacional 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America de Cali had 37% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 63%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America de Cali and 1.33 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional?
America de Cali 4-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 42%, draw 29%, Atletico Nacional 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.