America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
America de Cali v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
America de Cali 4-1 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
America de Cali overpowered Atletico Nacional 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.
On the day, America de Cali had 37% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 63%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America de Cali and 1.33 for Atletico Nacional.
America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Result & Final Score
America de Cali 4 - 1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 48%, draw 28%, Atletico Nacional 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.