Boyaca Chico 2-2 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.5pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
0.99/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.17
+14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
16.8 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Junior
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.45 xG 1.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
196 Passes 413
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
14.04.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
21.02.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
16.11.2020 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
19.08.2018 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
26.02.2018 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
2-2
AWAY Junior
0.83 xG 0.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
191 Passes 336
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 11
5 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico and Junior couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Boyaca Chico at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 38% of the ball to Junior's 62%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.83 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.33 for Junior.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Junior?

Boyaca Chico 2-2 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 41%, draw 31%, Junior 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boyaca Chico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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