Cienciano 0-1 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.37/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.52
-19% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.8 Crosses 18.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
2W-3D-0L
AWAY ADT
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.40 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 219
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.09.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 1-1 ADT ADT PER
30.04.2023 ADT ADT 3-4 HT 1-4 Cienciano Cienciano PER
24.07.2022 ADT ADT 0-1 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.02.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
0-1
AWAY ADT
0.48 xG 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
359 Passes 303
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT edged past Cienciano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; ADT found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cienciano had 54% of the ball to ADT's 46%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.48 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Cienciano and 1.20 for ADT.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs ADT?

Cienciano 0-1 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 38%, draw 30%, ADT 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cienciano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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