Stal Mielec 1-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Jul 2024

📅22/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.91
Over Pick
53%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.64
No
48%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.5
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.41
6+
13%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.82
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.74
X/2
17%
5.44
X/X
13%
4.7
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
13%
3.55
2/X
6%
12.85
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Stal Mielec The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz The Market 40%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.40 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.20
1.15 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.23
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.0 Crosses 23.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.81 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
323 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
06.12.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POLK
07.10.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
08.04.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-2 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
17.09.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-3 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.88 xG 0.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
323 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stal Mielec and Widzew Lodz traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

A draw from a 36% / 26% / 38% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

By the numbers, Stal Mielec had 48% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 52%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.88 to 0.68.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.20 for Widzew Lodz.

Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz Result & Final Score

Stal Mielec 1-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 36%, draw 26%, Widzew Lodz 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →