Stal Mielec 0-0 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 13 Apr 2024

Stal Mielec
0-0 HT 0-0
Widzew Lodz
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.45
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
14%
6.04
X/2
16%
4.83
X/X
15%
4.43
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
12%
3.26
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Mielec v Widzew Lodz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.37/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.04
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
21.2 Crosses 25.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POLK
07.10.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
08.04.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-2 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
17.09.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-3 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL

Stal Mielec 0-0 Widzew Lodz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
0-0
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.67 xG 0.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
282 Passes 417
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec and Widzew Lodz played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 42% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 58%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.67 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.50 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz?

Stal Mielec 0-0 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 37%, draw 29%, Widzew Lodz 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stal Mielec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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