AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2025

AFC Wimbledon
3-0 HT 0-2
Millwall
📅22/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Wimbledon v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 56%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.26/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.45
+0% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

AFC Wimbledon vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Millwall
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.00 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
218 Passes 186
62% Pass Accuracy 60%
17 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.02.2019 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall FAK
02.01.2017 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 1-2 Millwall Millwall İN1
22.11.2016 Millwall Millwall 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
06.08.2013 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İNLK
09.11.2009 Millwall Millwall 4-1 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon FAK
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon ran out comfortable winners over Millwall 3-0. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.80 for Millwall.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Millwall?

AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Millwall in the Friendlies on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 25%, draw 27%, Millwall 48%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Millwall), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
22 Jul 2025
00:00 Mönchengladbach vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Analysis →
00:00 Orleans vs Blois Analysis →
00:00 Clermont vs Rodez Analysis →
00:00 Nancy vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
00:00 St. Anna vs Beltinci Analysis →
00:00 USK Anif vs Kuchl Analysis →