Mönchengladbach 3-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.96
4-5 Goals
20%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
6.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.49
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
20.95
X/1 EV+ ✓
26%
3.92
X/2
6%
19.45
X/X
6%
8.51
2/1
6%
21.0
2/2
7%
16.15
2/X
5%
24.2
Value flag · X/1 at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.1pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.3pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
500 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
3-1
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach got the better of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mönchengladbach as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 31% of the ball to Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's 69%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Mönchengladbach 3-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Friendlies on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 65%, draw 17%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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