Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2025

📅22/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 66%
+74% / +74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.13/0.72
-11% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +50%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
229 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gillingham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
02.08.2014 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2-1
AWAY Gillingham
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United edged past Gillingham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gillingham at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 38% of the ball to Gillingham's 62%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham?

Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Gillingham in the Friendlies on 22/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 24%, draw 28%, Gillingham 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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