Egnatia Rrogozhine 3-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jul 2026

Egnatia Rrogozhine
3-3 HT 1-1
Celje
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Champions League – 2026/2027

Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.49
6+ Goals
12%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.49 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Egnatia Rrogozhine v Celje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egnatia Rrogozhine EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 49%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+50% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 487 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Egnatia Rrogozhine 3-3 Celje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Egnatia Rrogozhine
3-3
AWAY Celje
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egnatia Rrogozhine and Celje couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Celje?

Egnatia Rrogozhine 3-3 Celje in the Champions League on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Egnatia Rrogozhine 37%, draw 22%, Celje 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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