Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
45%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
7%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omonia Nicosia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omonia Nicosia
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Kairat
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.57 xG 1.10
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
388 Passes 170
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
15 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 5
09.12.2021 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat AVKL
16.09.2021 Kairat Kairat 0-0 HT 0-0 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omonia Nicosia
1-0
AWAY Kairat
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omonia Nicosia edged past Kairat 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Omonia Nicosia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 6-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Omonia Nicosia and 0.00 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat?

Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Kairat in the Champions League on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omonia Nicosia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Omonia Nicosia 52%, draw 29%, Kairat 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omonia Nicosia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Omonia Nicosia) ✓ Under 2.5
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