Neftçi PFK 2-4 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.6
6+ Goals
6%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +62%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftçi PFK
2-4
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk beat Neftçi PFK 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Neftçi PFK at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-15.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Dinamo Minsk?

Neftçi PFK 2-4 Dinamo Minsk in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 51%, draw 29%, Dinamo Minsk 20%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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