Vardar Skopje 2-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Jul 2026

Vardar Skopje
2-3 HT 1-2
Riga FC
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2026/2027

Vardar Skopje vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vardar Skopje v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vardar Skopje EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -63%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Vardar Skopje 2-3 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vardar Skopje
2-3
AWAY Riga FC
16 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Vardar Skopje vs Riga FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Riga FC edged past Vardar Skopje 3-2 away from home in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, shots finished 16-20.

What was the final score of Vardar Skopje vs Riga FC?

Vardar Skopje 2-3 Riga FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vardar Skopje vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vardar Skopje 36%, draw 24%, Riga FC 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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