Vila Nova 2-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Jul 2026

Vila Nova
2-1 HT 2-0
Fortaleza CEIF
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒03:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Vila Nova vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.30/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.52
+20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.0 Crosses 44.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 5.0

Vila Nova 2-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
2-1
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.23 xG 0.93
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 269
14 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza CEIF 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Vila Nova found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.23 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Vila Nova 2-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 38%, draw 30%, Fortaleza CEIF 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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