Avai 2-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Jul 2026

📅22/07/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.19/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.21
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.4 Crosses 20.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
340 Passes 336
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2025 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
27.04.2025 Avai Avai 3-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
12.10.2024 Avai Avai 2-2 HT 1-2 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
26.06.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Avai Avai BR2
01.08.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 1-1 Avai Avai BR1
11.04.2022 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
2-1
AWAY America Mineiro
1.82 xG 0.79
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
317 Passes 333
11 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Avai vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai nicked a narrow win over America Mineiro 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.82 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avai and 1.33 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Avai vs America Mineiro?

Avai 2-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Avai 43%, draw 27%, America Mineiro 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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