Avai 3-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 39% vs market 34.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.2pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -24%
1.10/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.20
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.1 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Avai Avai 2-2 HT 1-2 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
26.06.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Avai Avai BR2
01.08.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 1-1 Avai Avai BR1
11.04.2022 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
30.01.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2
01.11.2020 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
3-0
AWAY America Mineiro
1.68 xG 1.64
30% Ball Possession 70%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 12
170 Passes 475
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Avai vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai cruised past America Mineiro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Avai had 30% of the ball to America Mineiro's 70%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.68 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avai and 1.33 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Avai vs America Mineiro?

Avai 3-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Avai 43%, draw 28%, America Mineiro 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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