Paysandu 1-1 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Apr 2025

Paysandu
1-1 HT 1-1
CRB
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Paysandu vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.4 — our 40% vs market 34.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.1pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paysandu v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.34/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.27
-31% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
30.0 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Paysandu vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
0W-4D-2L
AWAY CRB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 Passes 238
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.10.2024 CRB CRB 3-2 HT 1-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
13.04.2021 Paysandu Paysandu 1-2 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BRK
20.02.2020 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BRK
10.10.2018 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
24.06.2018 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
14.10.2017 Paysandu Paysandu 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2

Paysandu 1-1 CRB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
1-1
AWAY CRB
2.74 xG 1.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
22 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
292 Passes 475
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
33 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu and CRB shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Paysandu had 40% of the ball to CRB's 60%, shots finished 22-22, expected goals 2.74 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paysandu and 1.33 for CRB.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs CRB?

Paysandu 1-1 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 39%, draw 32%, CRB 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paysandu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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