Athletic Club 2-1 Volta Redonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 28%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
2-1
AWAY Volta Redonda
1.27 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
238 Passes 373
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Volta Redonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club nicked a narrow win over Volta Redonda 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Club as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Club had 42% of the ball to Volta Redonda's 58%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.27 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Volta Redonda?

Athletic Club 2-1 Volta Redonda in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Volta Redonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 43%, draw 29%, Volta Redonda 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
27 Apr 2025
02:00 Avai vs America Mineiro Analysis →
22:30 Amazonas vs Atletico Goianiense Analysis →
23:00 Paysandu vs CRB Analysis →