Avai 2-2 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.1pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
0.87/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.10
-16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.7 Crosses 16.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
365 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Avai Avai BR2
01.08.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 1-1 Avai Avai BR1
11.04.2022 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
30.01.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2
01.11.2020 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
15.11.2014 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
2-2
AWAY America Mineiro
2.24 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
336 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avai vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai and America Mineiro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avai had 53% of the ball to America Mineiro's 47%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.24 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avai and 1.50 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Avai vs America Mineiro?

Avai 2-2 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avai 37%, draw 31%, America Mineiro 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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