Ceara vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR2
3-1
HT 2-0
Ceara
BR2
3-2
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Ceara
BR2
Ceara 1-0 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara squeezed past Ponte Preta 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ceara had 43% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 57%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.26 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ceara and 1.67 for Ponte Preta.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Ponte Preta?
Ceara 1-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Ponte Preta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ceara 54%, draw 26%, Ponte Preta 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.